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affaan-m/ecc992 installs

prediction-market-oracle-research

Research prediction markets as data sources or oracle signals for products, agents, dashboards, and corporate decision intelligence. Use for source-grounded analysis of market-implied probabilities, caveats, and integration patterns without investment advice.

How do I install this agent skill?

npx skills add https://github.com/affaan-m/ecc --skill prediction-market-oracle-research
view source ↗

Is this agent skill safe to install?

  • Gen Agent Trust Hubpass

    This skill provides a structured framework for researching prediction markets as data sources. It contains no executable code, network operations, or security risks. It includes appropriate safety guardrails regarding financial advice and data reliability.

  • Socketpass

    No alerts

  • Snykwarn

    Risk: MEDIUM · 1 issue

What does this agent skill do?

Prediction Market Oracle Research

Use this skill when prediction markets are being considered as a data source, forecasting input, oracle-like signal, or decision-intelligence layer.

Guardrails

  • Do not treat market prices as objective truth.
  • Do not provide investment advice or trading recommendations.
  • Separate venue mechanics, liquidity, incentives, and resolution rules from the implied signal.
  • Call out manipulation, thin liquidity, stale markets, and ambiguous outcomes.
  • For on-chain or execution-linked systems, run llm-trading-agent-security before granting any write authority.

Research Workflow

  1. Define the decision the signal is meant to inform.
  2. Find relevant markets, events, tags, and venues.
  3. Record market-implied probabilities with timestamps and source links.
  4. Evaluate signal quality:
    • liquidity
    • spread
    • market age
    • trader/incentive concentration if known
    • resolution authority
    • geography or account restrictions
  5. Compare against non-market sources such as filings, news, polls, research, customer data, or internal KPIs.
  6. Recommend whether the signal is usable, weak, or unsuitable for the stated decision.

Integration Patterns

  • Research assistant: source-grounded context for a human analyst.
  • Dashboard signal: market-implied probability alongside internal metrics.
  • Agent memory input: a time-stamped signal that can be retrieved later.
  • Alerting input: notify when probabilities, spreads, or liquidity cross a threshold.
  • Scenario planning: compare multiple event outcomes without automating trades.

Output Contract

Use:

  1. decision context
  2. market sources
  3. signal quality
  4. comparison sources
  5. integration recommendation
  6. caveats

End with:

Prediction-market signals are informational inputs, not investment advice.

How can the creator link this skill?

Add the canonical catalog link to the repository README so users can inspect current installs and available audits. The publishing guide covers the complete discovery path.

<a href="https://skillzs.dev/skills/affaan-m/ecc/prediction-market-oracle-research">View prediction-market-oracle-research on skillZs</a>